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India’s sugar production to drop 19% in 2024-25, AISTA revises estimate to 25.8 Mn tonnes
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Saturday, 15 March, 2025, 14 : 00 PM [IST]
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Our Bureau, New Delhi
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India’s sugar production is set to decline by 19% to 25.8 million tonnes in the 2024-25 season ending September, down from 31.9 million tonnes in the previous season, according to the latest estimate by the All India Sugar Trade Association (AISTA).
This revised estimate is 0.72 million tonnes lower than AISTA’s initial projection of 26.52 million tonnes, primarily due to reduced output in key producing states such as Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, and Gujarat.
Maharashtra, the largest sugar-producing state, is expected to see its output fall to 8 million tonnes from 11 million tonnes last season. Uttar Pradesh, the second-largest producer, is projected to maintain production at 9 million tonnes, unchanged from the initial estimate but lower than last year's 10.4 million tonnes. Karnataka’s sugar output is estimated at 4.10 million tonnes, slightly above the first estimate but still lower than last season’s 5.3 million tonnes.
AISTA has stated that actual production figures may vary by plus or minus 2%. The diversion of sucrose for ethanol production is also projected to increase significantly to 3.8 million tonnes, compared to the earlier estimate of 0.4 million tonnes.
Despite the production decline, India’s total sugar availability is estimated at 33.78 million tonnes, including opening stocks of 7.98 million tonnes. Domestic consumption is projected at 29 million tonnes, while exports are expected to reach 1 million tonnes, leaving an estimated closing stock of 3.78 million tonnes.
The drop in sugar output raises concerns about supply dynamics and pricing in the coming months, especially with increased ethanol diversion impacting overall availability.
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