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As supplies improve from Vietnam, robusta coffee prices face downward pressure
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Monday, 12 January, 2026, 08 : 00 AM [IST]
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Our Bureau, Mumbai
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Global robusta coffee markets are witnessing renewed pressure as supplies from Vietnam begin to improve, easing concerns that had pushed prices sharply higher over the past few months. Vietnam, the world’s largest producer and exporter of robusta coffee, is gradually increasing shipments as harvesting, stock release and logistics conditions stabilise, offering relief to roasters and traders worldwide.
Market participants note that delayed arrivals and tight on-farm stocks had earlier fuelled strong bullish sentiment in robusta, driving prices to multi-year highs. However, with Vietnamese exporters stepping up deliveries and farmers becoming more willing sellers, supply-side stress is slowly easing. This shift is prompting a correction in prices, particularly in futures markets, where speculative positions are being reassessed.
Industry sources indicate that improved weather conditions and smoother port operations are also supporting export momentum from Vietnam. At the same time, buyers who had postponed purchases amid high prices are re-entering the market cautiously, opting for short-term contracts rather than aggressive forward buying. This measured demand is further contributing to price softness.
Despite the near-term pressure, analysts caution that the robusta market remains structurally tight. Global inventories are still relatively low, and demand from instant coffee manufacturers and value-focused blends continues to grow, especially in emerging markets. Any disruption due to adverse weather, currency volatility or logistical challenges could quickly reverse the current trend.
For the food and beverage industry, softer robusta prices may offer temporary cost relief, particularly for manufacturers reliant on robusta-heavy formulations. However, procurement experts advise against complacency, as volatility is expected to persist through the year amid climate uncertainties and shifting global trade flows.
As Vietnam regains its supply rhythm, the robusta market is entering a phase of recalibration. While prices may remain under pressure in the short term, longer-term fundamentals suggest that stability, rather than a sharp decline, is likely to define the market in the months ahead.
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